English Russian
Известия
Izvestiya of Altai State
University Journal
The News of Altai State University

 Архив журнала «Известия АлтГУ», начиная с 2017 г., размещен на новой версии сайта http://izvestiya.asu.ru
 Актуальная информация о журнале размещена на новой версии сайта http://izvestiya.asu.ru

Print ISSN 1561-9443
On-line ISSN 1561-9451
Issues list
Table of Contents
pedagogy and psychology
law
philology and study of art
philosophy, sociology and culture studies
economics
About the Journal
Editorial board and Editorial advisory board
Regulations on reviewing research papers
Rules of the articles representation
Publication Ethics of the journal «Izvestiya of Altai State University»
 
2-2(82)2014
  PHILOSOPHY, SOCIOLOGY AND CULTURE STUDIES

D.P. Andreev

To the Question of the Relevance of Prognostic Function of Historical Consciousness

The article proves that the prognostic function of historical consciousness is topical. The historical consciousness is the integrity of the three modes of time (past, present and future) with the crucial role of the past. Historical consciousness has a selective character. The article shows that the prognostic function of historical consciousness can be related not only to the future but also to the past. In the article much attention is paid to the history of different views on the prognostic function of historical consciousness. Many philosophers considered the prognostic function of historical consciousness in their research, but they didn»t focus on this question in detail. The author of article is trying to develop the idea of a Soviet historian Yevgeny Viktorovich Tarle about the prognosis for the future. According to Tarle, the prognosis is not the statement of the future «incidents» with the exact date, but is the statement of future «states» of the society. The idea of Tarle about the prognosis is similar to the ideas of Karl Raimund Popper. Popper stresses that the human cannot live without searching consistency with natural laws and trying to prove them. Popper considers the future as the human project.

DOI 10.14258/izvasu(2014)2.2-43

Key words: historical Consciousness, Prognostic Function, Prognosis, Forecast, Retro-Prognosis, Retro-Forecast, Tarle, Popper

Full text at PDF, 290Kb. Language: Russian.

ANDREEV D.P.
Altai State University (Barnaul, Russia)
E-mail: andreevdmitry87@mail.ru

 

Print Edition of "Izvestiya of Altai State University" © 1996-2017 Altai State University.
All rights reserved. Any of parts of a journal or edition as a whole cannot be reprinted without the written sanction of the authors or publisher. On purchase of a journal to address to ASU publishing house:
Altai State University. 656049, 66 Dimitrova street, Barnaul, Russia. Telephone + 7 (3852) 366351.