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Scientific journal of the
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The News of Altai State University
Print ISSN 1561-9443
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Content of 1-1(69) 2011
Management, Computer Facilities and Computer Science
Mathematics and Mechanics
Physics
 
1-1(69)2011
Management, Computer Facilities and Computer Science

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N.V. Gavrilovskaya, A.G. Topazh, L.A. Khvorova

Simulation of Weather Scenarios to Assess the Yield of Grain Crops in Western Siberia

Solving the problem of forecasting the course of the production process there is a problem of constructing weather scenarios on the period of time from the date of predictive calculations till the end of the growing season, which determines the efficiency of using models in decision-making systems. The article describes the method to form such scenarios using weather realizations of years-analogue and weather data generator.
Key words: modeling, meteorological factors, weather scenario, productivity.

Full text at PDF, 334Kb. Language: russian.

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